Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)

Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Caliente TV, Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Pachuca		Monterrey

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.9
	2.28	3.45	2.92	Watch
	2.36	3.55	3.07
				Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.9
	2.3	3.45	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.21)	3.42 ↑ (3.41)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca
40.9%

Draw
27.5%

Monterrey
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	7.1%	50%

Pachuca - Monterrey Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Monterrey will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Monterrey (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Monterrey (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Monterrey (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Moreno C. (C) 2. Barreto S. D. 24. Rodriguez L. 5. Pedraza P. 3. Aceves A. 26. Bautista A. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 28. Montiel E. 99. Cadiz J. 23. Quinones L. 18. Dominguez A.	25. Mele S. (G) 33. Medina S. 30. Rodriguez J. 93. Ramos S. (C) 14. Aguirre E. 35. Fimbres I. 8. Torres O. 3. Arteaga G. 17. Corona J. 7. Berterame G. 11. Alvarado A.
Substitutes
13. Berlanga J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 12. Garcia Caprizo B. A. 8. Guzman V. 9. Hernandez I. 6. Homenchenko S. 19. Lopez J. 15. Luna I. 14. Sanchez C. 32. Togni G.	5. Ambriz F. 22. Cardenas L. (G) 2. Chavez R. 31. de la Rosa R. 20. Gonzalez A. 4. Guzman V. 32. Leone T. 36. Moxica J. 21. Reyes L. 23. Sanchez L.
Coaches
Lozano J.	Torrent D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Eduardo Bauermann 🟨,
22', Corona J. 🟨,
45', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Alvarado A. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Cadiz J. ⚽, Bautista A. (A),
55', 2 - 0, Dominguez A. ⚽, Cadiz J. (A),
59', Fimbres I. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
64', Quinones L. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
70', Ramos S. 🟨,
71', Pedraza P. 🟨,
72', Dominguez A. ↓, Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↑,
73', Rodriguez J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Montiel E. ⚽, Guzman V. (A),
81', Cadiz J. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
82', Pedraza P. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 2.

Monterrey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monterrey: Salcedo C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Pachuca: Kenedy (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Pachuca
FIFA Club World Cup
26.06.25	Al-Hilal - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Real Madrid - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
18.06.25	Pachuca - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.06.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
10.05.25	Club América - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- CF Monterrey
FIFA Club World Cup
01.07.25	Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Monterrey	0:4 ✺
21.06.25	River Plate - Monterrey	0:0 ✺
17.06.25	Monterrey - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
10.05.25	Toluca - Monterrey	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
27.04.25	Monterrey - Pachuca	1:2
25.01.25	Monterrey - Pachuca	2:3
07.07.24	Pachuca - Monterrey	0:1
10.02.24	Monterrey - Pachuca	3:2
04.11.23	Pachuca - Monterrey	0:2
12.03.23	Pachuca - Monterrey	1:2
23.10.22	Monterrey - Pachuca	0:1

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