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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles Galaxy 50.9%
Draw 24.4%
CF Montréal 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
24.4%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
25.2%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
59.6%
15.4%
25%
Los Angeles Galaxy - CF Montréal Predictions
Users Predictions:
52 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 31 - 59.6%). Montreal will win (votes: 13 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 46.3% – 72.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
LA Galaxy has the most likely position - 4 (11.32%), has project points - 51, has currently - 24, has a good chance of playoffs (69%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (5%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (2%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Montreal has the most likely position - 2 (16.98%), has project points - 54, has currently - 29, has a good chance of playoffs (89%), has a chance of first-round bye (16%), has a small chance of supporters shield (6%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
This event has quality42, small importance17, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy won 3.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
LA Galaxy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently LA Galaxy have a series of home games.
In this match LA Galaxy is a favorite.
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Cabral K.
(Red Card)
Costa D.
(Red Card)
Gasper C.
(Injury)
Villafana J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Montreal: Giraldo T.
(Injury)
Johnsen B.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches LA Galaxy won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.
Including matches at home between the teams LA Galaxy won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
Germany
Italy
Netherlands
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