The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 38.5%
Draw 24%
San Diego 37.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
23.7%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
23.8%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
80%
20%
New York Red Bulls - San Diego Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Horvath E. (G) 12. Nealis D. 2. Che J. 14. Bazan J. 59. Padelford D. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 37. Sofo M. 11. Ruvalcaba J. 16. Hall J. 7. Cowell C.
1. dos Santos CJ (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 26. Duah M. 32. Murphy I. 5. Sargeant K. 20. Godoy A. 6. Tverskov J. (C) 12. Gabriel Pirani 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 99. Achouri E.
Substitutes
13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 56. Dos Santos M. 10. Forsberg E. 60. Kone S. 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 26. Parker T. 88. Pedro Castro 8. Ruiz D.
70. Alvarado Jr A. 94. Bakambu C. 97. McVey C. 36. Nyangono D. 90. Pellegrino A. 13. Sisniega P. (G) 3. Thorhallsson D. 8. Valakari O. 14. Zamble B. B.
Coaches
Bradley M.
Varas M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Hall J. ⚽, Ruvalcaba J. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Padelford D. ⚽, Cowell C. (A),
27', 3 - 0, Ruvalcaba J. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
31', Tverskov J. 🟨,
43', Bazan J. 🟨,
44', Dreyer A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tverskov J. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
46', Ingvartsen M. ↓, Bakambu C. ↑,
55', Duah M. 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, Bakambu C. ⚽,
62', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Nyangono D. ↑,
62', Murphy I. ↓, McVey C. ↑,
63', Che J. ↓, Parker T. ↑,
72', Donkor R. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
72', Sofo M. ↓, Forsberg E. ↑,
72', Cowell C. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
81', Achouri E. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
81', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Marshall-Rutty J. ↑,
83', Padelford D. 🟨,
86', Sargeant K. 🟨,
88', Padelford D. ↓, Dos Santos M. ↑,
90+2', Godoy A. ↓, Valakari O. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Dos Santos M. (A),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 12th).
In recent outings, NY Red Bulls has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
San Diego has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, NY Red Bulls has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for NY Red Bulls: Che J.
(Ankle Injury)
Harper C.
(Muscle Injury)
Marshall-Rutty J.
(Hamstring Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for San Diego: Gabriel Pirani
(Muscle Injury)
Pellegrino A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Vines S.
(Lower-Body Injury).
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Outrights of MLS for now
New York Red Bulls: 0.69% San Diego FC: 0.63%
Last Results with these Odds
San Diego - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.86%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Horvath E. (G) 
Bazan J. 
Donkor R. 
Ruvalcaba J. 
dos Santos CJ (G) 
Godoy A. 
Tverskov J. (C) 
Gabriel Pirani 
Achouri E. 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Forsberg E. 
Kone S. 
Marshall-Rutty J. 
Ruiz D. 
Bakambu C. 
Pellegrino A. 
Thorhallsson D. 
Valakari O. 
Zamble B. B. 
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