Match Info

MLS

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Nu Stadium (Miami, FL)

Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 3 Caribbean
Suriname	SCCN
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Inter Miami		San Diego

	1	X	2
	1.30	6.00	7.00	Watch
	1.36	6.00	6.25
	1.35	5.30	7.00
	1.38	5.96	7.04
	1.4	5.56	6.38	Watch
	1.32	6.50	7.20
	1.38	6.07	6.57	Watch
	1.35	5.80	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)	5.9 ↑ (4.91)	6.71 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Miami
69.8%

Draw
16%

San Diego
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

19.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

18.6%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Miami's performance.

San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Inter Miami - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). San Diego will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. St.Clair D. (G) 4. Mura F. 5. Casemiro 37. Falcon M. 15. Caicedo F. 7. de Paul R. 42. Bright Y. 80. Galarza M. 10. Messi L. (C) 9. Suarez L. 19. Berterame G.	1. dos Santos CJ (G) 25. Pilcher I. 26. Duah M. 32. Murphy I. 5. Sargeant K. 3. Thorhallsson D. 6. Tverskov J. (C) 20. Godoy A. 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 99. Achouri E.
Substitutes
22. Ayala D. 2. Lujan G. 16. Micael 20. Morales S. 56. Pinter D. 59. Plambeck P. 3. Reguilon S. 34. Rios R. (G) 88. Shaw A.	70. Alvarado Jr A. 94. Bakambu C. 18. Ferree D. (G) 97. McVey C. 90. Pellegrino A. 8. Valakari O. 19. Vazquez D. 23. Vines S. 14. Zamble B. B.
Coaches
Gonzalez K.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. ⚽, Tverskov J. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Messi L. ⚽,
33', Murphy I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Ingvartsen M. ↓, Bakambu C. ↑,
65', Bright Y. 🟨,
69', Galarza M. ↓, Shaw A. ↑,
69', Caicedo F. ↓, Reguilon S. ↑,
74', Murphy I. ↓, McVey C. ↑,
74', Godoy A. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, de Paul R. (A),
82', Shaw A. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Dreyer A. ⚽,
88', Berterame G. ↓, Pinter D. ↑,
90', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Vines S. ↑,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/8~finals) and 10th).

Inter Miami has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Performances by San Diego have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Inter Miami may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Inter Miami is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Inter Miami: Allende T. (Knee Injury) Silvetti M. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for San Diego: Gabriel Pirani (Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Injury) Mighten A. (Lower-Body Injury) Verhoeven O. (Yellow Cards).

Doubtful / questionable for Inter Miami: Fray I. (Injury).

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Miami - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 64.2%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Miami
Campeones Cup
16.09.26	Inter Miami - Cruz Azul	2:0 ✺
MLS
12.09.26	Inter Miami - Nashville SC	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Chicago Fire - Inter Miami	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Inter Miami - Atlanta United	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Inter Miami - CF Montréal	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTTTW
- San Diego FC
MLS
13.09.26	San Diego - Philadelphia Union	0:5 ✺
09.09.26	San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Orlando City - San Diego	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	San Diego - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	San Diego - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW

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