Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Referee: Elfath I. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Israel	Sport 2
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	San Diego		Philadelphia Union

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.75	2.3	Watch
	2.60	3.70	2.37
	2.75	3.6	2.35
	2.81	3.85	2.42
	2.73	3.81	2.36	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.3
	2.76	3.97	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.7	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.6)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	2.36 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego
34.7%

Draw
25.1%

Philadelphia Union
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

24.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

San Diego - Philadelphia Union Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Ferree D. (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 26. Duah M. 32. Murphy I. 5. Sargeant K. 70. Alvarado Jr A. 6. Tverskov J. (C) 8. Valakari O. 10. Dreyer A. 90. Pellegrino A. 99. Achouri E.	18. Blake A. (C) 39. Westfield F. 44. Pierre N. 26. Harriel N. 27. Wagner K. 6. Sullivan C. 21. Jean Jacques D. 4. Lukic J. 19. Vassilev I. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
94. Bakambu C. 20. Godoy A. 97. McVey C. 13. Sisniega P. (G) 15. Soma P. 3. Thorhallsson D. 19. Vazquez D. 23. Vines S. 14. Zamble B. B.	23. Alladoh E. 28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 8. Bueno J. 51. Jakupovic M. 76. Rick A. (G) 5. Sery Larsen J. 33. Sullivan Q.
Coaches
Varas M.	Richter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Damiani B. 🟨,
45+2', Alvarado Jr A. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Sullivan C. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
45+7', Pierre N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
60', Valakari O. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
60', Alvarado Jr A. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
60', Pellegrino A. ↓, Bakambu C. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Sullivan C. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
67', 0 - 3, Damiani B. ⚽, Westfield F. (A),
70', Vassilev I. ↓, Sullivan Q. ↑,
73', Achouri E. ↓, Zamble B. B. ↑,
77', Sullivan C. ↓, Bueno J. ↑,
77', Damiani B. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
81', Murphy I. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
86', Pierre N. ↓, Sery Larsen J. ↑,
86', Iloski M. ↓, Jakupovic M. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Godoy A. (Own goal),
90+1', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 5, Jakupovic M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

San Diego has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Philadelphia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Injury) Sisniega P. (Back Injury) dos Santos CJ (Red Card)

There are questionable in San Diego: Gabriel Pirani (Injury)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Ndinga P. (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Philadelphia Union - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.21%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego FC
MLS
09.09.26	San Diego - San Jose Earthquakes	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Orlando City - San Diego	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	San Diego - Los Angeles Galaxy	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	San Diego - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	Portland Timbers - San Diego	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL
- Philadelphia Union
MLS
09.09.26	Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Philadelphia Union - CF Montréal	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Philadelphia Union	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Austin FC - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTT

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