Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 10 May 2024, Friday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Stefanovic V. (Usa)


	Loudoun United		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.04	3.36	3.59
	2.05	3.36	3.59
	1.99	3.29	3.63	Watch
	1.96	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.23)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	3.58 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
46.3%

Draw
28%

El Paso Locomotive
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+4%)

Loudoun United - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Fauroux H. (G) 12. Skundrich D. 24. Erlandson J. 22. Dambrot R. 6. Awuah K. 15. Bidois R. 8. Valot F. 4. McCabe T. 30. Aboukoura A. 14. Ryan Z. (C) 17. Francois C.	23. Waite J. (G) 16. Lyons M. 21. Akinyode B. 93. Alfaro J. 4. Stauffer L. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 2. Craig B. 22. Rose L. 18. Moshobane T. 9. Dhillon J. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
10. Elmedkhar K. 11. Espinal I. 1. Jacomen D. (G) 7. Leggett W. 77. Maldonado A. 21. Martinez N. 3. Tingey K. 9. Williamson T. 20. Zwetsloot T.	77. Abarca D. 20. Garay J. 31. Hinds N. 99. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 1. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 14. Pelua Paez G. N. 7. Rivas J. 58. Rodriguez M.
Coaches
Martin R.	Clarhaut B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Moshobane T. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
33', Lyons M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Calvillo E. ⚽, Moshobane T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bidois R. ↓, Tingey K. ↑,
55', Moshobane T. 🟨,
57', Skundrich D. ↓, Elmedkhar K. ↑,
66', Aboukoura A. 🟨,
67', Dhillon J. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
73', Francois C. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
73', Aboukoura A. ↓, Williamson T. ↑,
77', Lyons M. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
80', Rose L. 🟨,
85', Moshobane T. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
85', Craig B. ↓, Hinds N. ↑,
88', Waite J. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent matches Loudoun is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Paso has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

El Paso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Loudoun will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Loudoun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Loudoun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
US Open Cup
07.05.24	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
04.05.24	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Sacramento Republic - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Loudoun United - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Richmond Kickers - Loudoun United	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLLW
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
04.05.24	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	El Paso Locomotive - Tulsa	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - El Paso Locomotive	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Union Omaha - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
13.05.23	El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United	1:0
30.04.22	Loudoun United - El Paso Locomotive	1:3

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