Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Simon N. (Usa)


	Orange County SC		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.87	3.6	3.75
	1.84	3.9	3.98
	1.79	3.9	3.98
	1.87	3.58	3.79	Watch
	1.79	3.65	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	3.67 ↑ (3.66)	3.82 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
50.6%

Draw
25.2%

Loudoun United
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

25.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Orange County SC - Loudoun United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shutler C. (G) 2. Lambe O. 30. Nakkim M. (C) 33. Miles A. 15. Chattha A. 10. Iloski B. 26. Scott K. 11. Jamison B. 17. Sorto C. 21. Amang T. 7. Dunbar C.	23. Fauroux H. (G) 3. Tingey K. 2. Hughes K. 24. Erlandson J. 45. Akinmboni M. 6. Awuah K. 12. Skundrich D. 8. Valot F. 4. McCabe T. 15. Bidois R. 14. Ryan Z. (C)
Substitutes
25. Ayoub R. 24. Barjolo B. 22. Buckley J. 4. Djeffal S. 20. Ferree D. (G) 27. Lee M. 34. Loomis E. 35. Norris B. 9. Zubak E.	30. Aboukoura A. 22. Dambrot R. 1. Jacomen D. (G) 5. Leerman Y. 7. Leggett W. 40. Turner G. 18. Wane P.
Coaches
Karlsen M.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Valot F. ⚽, Ryan Z. (A),
41', Chattha A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chattha A. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
51', Erlandson J. 🟨,
56', Bidois R. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
63', Erlandson J. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
70', Awuah K. ↓, Leerman Y. ↑,
72', Skundrich D. 🟨,
74', Jamison B. ↓, Lee M. ↑,
74', Iloski B. ↓, Djeffal S. ↑,
88', Scott K. 🟨,
90+5', Miles A. 🟥,
90+7', 0 - 2, Ryan Z. (Pen),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Orange County SC is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Loudoun is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Loudoun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Orange County SC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Orange County SC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Orange County SC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
18.05.24	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	2:1 ✺
11.05.24	Louisville City - Orange County SC	3:0 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.24	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
27.04.24	Orange County SC - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Loudoun United
US Open Cup
21.05.24	Los Angeles - Loudoun United	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
18.05.24	Loudoun United - Monterey Bay	3:0 ✺
14.05.24	North Carolina - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
10.05.24	Loudoun United - El Paso Locomotive	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.24	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
07.05.24	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	1:2
USL Championship
15.07.23	Loudoun United - Orange County SC	1:3
25.06.22	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	3:1

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