Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Union Omaha		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.35	2.52
	2.71	3.39	2.37
	3.12	2.72	2.55	Watch
	2.47	3.34	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.91)	3.2 ↓ (3.48)	2.48 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
34%

Draw
28.8%

El Paso Locomotive
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.1%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Paso Locomotive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Jensen C. (G) 4. Owusu S. 13. Holt A. 5. Milanese M. (C) 15. Knapp B. 30. Martinez I. 28. Becher R. 8. Ors S. 20. Ostrem C. 29. Stefano Pinho 23. Schneider M.	23. Waite J. (G) 24. Diaz M. 25. Ortiz A. (C) 21. Twumasi K. 12. Ruiz R. 8. Daroma F. 30. Coronado R. 16. Gabriel Torres 6. Calvillo E. 14. Avila R. 11. Sorto C.
Substitutes
26. Acoff D. 33. Botello Faz P. 18. Bronnik M. 7. Gallardo J. 14. Kallman B. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 16. Wootton L.	3. Ackwei W. 1. Mora-Mora S. (G) 28. Mora O. 18. Quezada A. 31. Rodriguez E. 7. Romero B. 5. Tony Alfaro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Diaz M. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Avila R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Schneider M. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
57', Milanese M. 🟨,
65', Sorto C. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
65', Twumasi K. ↓, Tony Alfaro ↑,
65', Milanese M. ↓, Bronnik M. ↑,
66', Holt A. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
72', Stefano Pinho ↓, Botello Faz P. ↑,
73', Rodriguez E. ↓, Ackwei W. ↑,
73', Ortiz A. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
77', Ostrem C. 🟨,
77', Avila R. 🟨,
90+2', Coronado R. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Union Omaha has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

El Paso is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

El Paso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

El Paso is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL Cup
23.07.25	Union Omaha - Texoma	3:1 ✺
USL League One
18.07.25	Union Omaha - South Georgia Tormenta	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	AV Alta - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
28.06.25	San Antonio - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Cup
19.07.25	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
12.07.25	Sacramento Republic - El Paso Locomotive	3:0 ✺
04.07.25	El Paso Locomotive - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
17.04.24	Union Omaha - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 penalties
05.04.23	Union Omaha - El Paso Locomotive	2:0

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