Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL)

Referee: Beehler A. (Usa)


	Tampa Bay Rowdies		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.4	5.75
	1.4	4.75	6.5
	1.45	5	5.9
	1.45	5	5.72
	1.43	4.49	6.35	Watch
	1.39	4.5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	4.69 ↑ (3.82)	6.07 ↓ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
65.1%

Draw
19.7%

El Paso Locomotive
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

24.2%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.9%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

El Paso Locomotive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farr J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 3. Lasso F. 33. Guillen A. (C) 23. Munjoma E. 17. Crisostomo D. 4. Hilton L. 11. Bodily B. 26. Jennings C. 9. Arteaga M. 98. Perez J.	23. Waite J. (G) 15. Dollenmayer N. 21. Akinyode B. 93. Alfaro J. 22. Rose L. 99. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 11. Rivas J. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 4. Stauffer L. 9. Dhillon J. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
15. Breno P. (G) 14. Dennis C. 5. DeZart J. 19. Kleemann F. 27. Niyongabire P. 16. Ortiz C. 8. Rivera D. 24. Skubis N.	20. Garay J. 31. Hinds N. 16. Lyons M. 18. Moshobane T. 1. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 14. Pelua Paez G. N. 24. Yuma
Coaches
Neilson R.	Clarhaut B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Calvillo E. 🟨,
8', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 🟨,
9', Alfaro J. 🟨,
18', Perez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Rose L. 🟨,
60', Bodily B. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
60', Perez J. ↓, Niyongabire P. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽,
74', Rivas J. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
74', Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↓, Hinds N. ↑,
74', Calvillo E. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
78', Hilton L. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
84', Munjoma E. 🟨,
86', Moreno A. ↓, Pelua Paez G. N. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Tampa Bay is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Paso has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tampa Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tampa Bay is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship
11.04.24	Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies	2:5 ✺
06.04.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island	4:1 ✺
23.03.24	North Carolina - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - San Antonio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTT
- El Paso Locomotive
US Open Cup
17.04.24	Union Omaha - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.04.24	El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	El Paso Locomotive - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
17.06.23	El Paso Locomotive - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1
12.10.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - El Paso Locomotive	3:1

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