Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Klemp D. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Loudoun United		Detroit City

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.92	3.35	2.2
	3.07	3.49	2.29
	2.97	3.52	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	2.94	3.3	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	3.37 ↓ (3.48)	2.21 (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
31.1%

Draw
27.3%

Detroit City
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.7%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Loudoun United - Detroit City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Bandre E. (G) 2. Adnan N. 51. Essengue A. 5. Mazzaferro S. 7. Niyongabire P. 14. Souper A. 21. Akinyode B. (C) 6. Awuah K. 10. Santos P. 17. Ulfarsson T. 19. Aman R.	1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 33. Silva T. 2. Williams R. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 6. Williams R. 15. Dalou A. 7. Smith D. 32. Diouf A.
Substitutes
24. Erlandson J. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 39. Marcos Dias 8. Murphy J. 9. Ordonez A. 16. Panayotou J. 33. Piras L. 22. Torres C.	18. Etaka P. 20. Hope-Gund R. 9. Morris B. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 21. Rodriguez M. 91. Saldana C. (G) 3. Stanley A.
Coaches
Limbrick A.	Dichio D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Mazzaferro S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Montgomery C. 🟨,
56', Souper A. 🟨,
58', Aman R. 🟨,
59', Niyongabire P. 🟨,
60', Aman R. ↓, Marcos Dias ↑,
61', Santos P. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
63', Williams R. ↓, Stanley A. ↑,
63', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
68', Dalou A. 🟨,
74', Smith D. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
74', Diouf A. ↓, Rafa Mentzingen ↑,
77', Souper A. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
84', Adnan N. 🟨,
86', Bandre E. 🟨,
89', Dalou A. ↓, Etaka P. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Loudoun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Loudoun United - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Detroit City - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
09.05.26	Brooklyn - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Loudoun United - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Loudoun United - Charleston Battery	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Loudoun United - Louisville City	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLTT
- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
20.05.26	Detroit City - Miami	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Forward Madison - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Detroit City - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
11.10.25	Detroit City - Loudoun United	0:1
14.06.25	Loudoun United - Detroit City	3:2
04.05.24	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:0
23.03.24	Detroit City - Loudoun United	2:1
07.10.23	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:3
12.07.23	Detroit City - Loudoun United	1:1
01.10.22	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:4

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