Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+, KDKA+, SportsEngine Play


	Louisville City		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.70	4.40
	1.52	4.05	5.3
	1.55	4.24	5.91
	1.65	4.01	4.7	Watch
	1.51	4.15	5.85
	1.54	4.22	5.4	Watch
	1.52	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)	4.05 ↓ (4.16)	5.25 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville City
59.5%

Draw
22.9%

Hartford Athletic
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

22.4%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Louisville City - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Louisville City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Faundez D. (G) 4. Totsch S. 5. Dayes B. 32. Adams K. (C) 31. Lambert K. 8. Davila T. 23. Gleadle S. 3. Morris J. 47. Akale M. 9. Donovan C. 7. Serrano R.	77. Siaha A. (G) 22. Presthus T. 15. Diz A. 4. Scarlett J. 25. Fischer B. 8. Moreira J. 24. Flynn G. 6. Makangila B. 16. Coffey B. 19. Samadia E. 11. Ngalina M.
Substitutes
27. Davila E. 13. Dia A. 6. Duncan Z. 1. Fauroux H. (G) 21. Huerman Q. 2. McFadden A. 14. Showunmi T. 97. Weinrich T. 25. Wilson J.	17. Anaku S. 10. Careaga S. 1. Carvalho E. (G) 20. Hernandez A. 5. Njie B. 29. Taofeek A. 9. Williams A.
Coaches
Bird S.	Burke B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Flynn G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Flynn G. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
46', Coffey B. ↓, Williams A. ↑,
54', Totsch S. 🟨,
58', Lambert K. ↓, Duncan Z. ↑,
58', Gleadle S. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Wilson J. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
73', Scarlett J. 🟨,
74', Presthus T. ↓, Anaku S. ↑,
78', Samadia E. ↓, Taofeek A. ↑,
78', Moreira J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
83', Donovan C. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
83', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
89', Akale M. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,
90+3', Taofeek A. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Cup
20.06.26	Detroit City - Louisville City	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.06.26	Louisville City - Brooklyn	2:2 ✺
10.06.26	Phoenix Rising - Louisville City	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWTL
- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
20.06.26	Hartford Athletic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
13.06.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Hartford Athletic	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	New York Cosmos - Hartford Athletic	1:4 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United	0:0 ✺
22.05.26	Tulsa - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.10.25	Louisville City - Hartford Athletic	1:0
17.05.25	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	1:1
24.08.24	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	2:1
27.04.24	Louisville City - Hartford Athletic	6:0
07.10.23	Louisville City - Hartford Athletic	1:1
03.06.23	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	0:0
15.10.22	Louisville City - Hartford Athletic	2:1

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