The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Loudoun United 18.2%
Draw 21.9%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.7%
23.3%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.2%
22.8%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Bandre E. (G) 22. Torres C. 24. Erlandson J. (C) 5. Mazzaferro S. 6. Awuah K. 8. Murphy J. 21. Akinyode B. 7. Niyongabire P. 11. Aboukoura A. 19. Aman R. 17. Ulfarsson T.
1. Waite J. (G) 30. Cruz S. 5. Leerman Y. 62. Dossantos N. (C) 20. Ostrem C. 4. Hilton L. 23. Schneider M. 7. Conway E. 8. Pedro Becker 10. Cicerone R. 9. Myers M.
Substitutes
2. Adnan N. 38. Barrus L. 89. Herrera-Rauda L. (G) 9. Ordonez A. 33. Piras L. 10. Santos P. 14. Souper A. 20. Young S.
14. Henderlong K. 41. Kachurak J. (G) 19. LeFlore I. 16. Micaletto M. 33. Nigro G. 13. Perez L. 11. Vivi Quesada G.
Coaches
Limbrick A.
Casciato D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Niyongabire P. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Pedro Becker (Penalty Awarded),
38', Schneider M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Conway E. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
46', Niyongabire P. ↓, Souper A. ↑,
56', Casciato D. 🟨,
65', Akinyode B. 🟨,
67', Murphy J. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
68', Aman R. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
75', Schneider M. ↓, Nigro G. ↑,
80', Mazzaferro S. ↓, Young S. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Ulfarsson T. ⚽,
85', Myers M. 🟨,
88', Awuah K. 🟨,
90', Pedro Becker ↓, Henderlong K. ↑,
90', Torres C. ↓, Adnan N. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3.
Loudoun is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tampa Bay's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 1.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).