Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ)

Referee: May C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Phoenix Rising		Hartford Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.60	3.75	4.40
	1.63	3.65	4.30
	1.67	4.04	5.02
	1.92	3.63	3.64	Watch
	1.61	4.15	4.80
	1.65	3.90	4.88	Watch
	1.64	3.70	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.13)	3.83 ↑ (3.46)	4.52 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
55.3%

Draw
24.2%

Hartford Athletic
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.9%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartford Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartford Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Phoenix Rising - Hartford Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 20. Biasi L. 4. Mar Boye P. 17. JP Scearce (C) 87. Flores D. 7. Sacko I. 13. Moursou J. 8. Gomez D. 10. Avayevu H. 28. Arase K. 23. Badji D.	77. Siaha A. (G) 22. Presthus T. 4. Scarlett J. 25. Fischer B. 24. Flynn G. 16. Coffey B. 8. Moreira J. 5. Njie B. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 9. Williams A. 29. Taofeek A.
Substitutes
27. Ambursley C. 12. Dennis C. 68. Irwin J. 14. Odunze C. (G) 24. Pelayo A. 44. Ping J. 37. Rivera G. 2. Smith C. 11. Studenhofft G.	7. Adedokun M. 17. Anaku S. 1. Carvalho E. (G) 27. Gordon S. 20. Hernandez A. 28. Miranda C. 81. Obalola A.
Coaches
Kah P.	Burke B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Arase K. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
59', Hadjipaschalis C. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
59', Flynn G. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
65', Badji D. ↓, Ambursley C. ↑,
65', Flores D. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
74', Taofeek A. ↓, Anaku S. ↑,
81', Williams A. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
83', Avayevu H. ↓, Studenhofft G. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 9).

Phoenix Rising is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hartford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Phoenix Rising will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
18.07.26	Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	AV Alta - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	3:4 ✺
13.06.26	El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLT
- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
18.07.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Hartford Athletic - Westchester SC	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
08.07.26	Hartford Athletic - Orange County SC	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Louisville City - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Hartford Athletic - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
26.07.24	Hartford Athletic - Phoenix Rising	0:0
13.05.23	Phoenix Rising - Hartford Athletic	3:1
28.05.22	Hartford Athletic - Phoenix Rising	1:2

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