Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 14 June 2024, Friday

Location: Segra Field (Leesburg, VA)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)


	Loudoun United		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.5	2.95
	2.05	3.6	3.2
	2.17	3.55	3.27
	2.17	3.37	3.27
	2.05	3.5	3
	2.1	3.52	3.15	Watch
	2.08	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.89)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	3.12 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loudoun United
44.1%

Draw
26.3%

Las Vegas Lights
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Loudoun United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Loudoun United - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Loudoun will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Fauroux H. (G) 3. Tingey K. 2. Hughes K. 24. Erlandson J. 22. Dambrot R. 6. Awuah K. 8. Valot F. 12. Skundrich D. 4. McCabe T. 15. Bidois R. 14. Ryan Z. (C)	1. Ammeter N. (G) 20. Smart S. 22. Hafferty J. 4. Garcia F. 24. Howell M. 33. Nigro G. 8. Gannon C. 26. Ngando J. 27. Noel V. 14. Asante S. 90. Bennett K.
Substitutes
30. Aboukoura A. 17. Francois C. 1. Jacomen D. (G) 5. Leerman Y. 7. Leggett W. 36. Melly J. 40. Turner G. 18. Wane P.	56. Arozarena R. (G) 10. Azcona E. 7. Gyau J. 23. Klimenta E. 11. Pinzon C. 77. Romero A. 3. Sargis H.
Coaches
Martin R.	Sanchez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Gannon C. ⚽, Asante S. (A),
24', McCabe T. 🟨,
36', Bennett K. 🟨,
43', Howell M. 🟨,
45+6', Ryan Z. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Las Vegas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Loudoun will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Loudoun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loudoun United
USL Championship
01.06.24	Loudoun United - Tulsa	3:0 ✺
25.05.24	Orange County SC - Loudoun United	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.24	Los Angeles - Loudoun United	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
18.05.24	Loudoun United - Monterey Bay	3:0 ✺
14.05.24	North Carolina - Loudoun United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWL
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
08.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Miami	3:1 ✺
01.06.24	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Las Vegas Lights	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Las Vegas Lights - Louisville City	2:2 ✺
11.05.24	San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.08.23	Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United	0:3

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