Match Info

Date: 2 June 2022, Thursday

Location: MSU Soccer Park (New York)

Referee: Scheer J. (Usa)


	New York Red Bulls 2		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.73	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.76
	3.6	3.55	1.78
	3.71	3.81	1.88
	4	3.5	1.73
	3.65	3.78	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.3)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	1.78 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
24.2%

Draw
24.8%

San Diego Loyal
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

25.1%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

25.1%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	9.1%	59.1%

New York Red Bulls 2 - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). San Diego Loyal will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego Loyal: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (43.84%), has project points - 23, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 3 (15.49%), has project points - 55, has currently - 21, has a good chance of playoffs (81%), has a chance of qtrs (43%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has very small quality 8, very small importance 9, very small match rating 9. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

New York Red Bulls 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Diego Loyal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of guest games.

In this match San Diego Loyal is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
27.05.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Birmingham Legion	1:2 ✺
21.05.22	Indy Eleven - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Hartford Athletic - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
08.05.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Detroit City - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
28.05.22	LA Galaxy II - San Diego Loyal	2:2 ✺
21.05.22	Rio Grande Valley - San Diego Loyal	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	New Mexico United - San Diego Loyal	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
US Open Cup
19.04.22	Los Angeles Galaxy - San Diego Loyal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTWL

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