Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Relegation Group

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Lakeview Park (Loughgall)

Referee: Marshall T. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Loughgall		Carrick Rangers

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.98
	3.5	3.55	1.95
	3.76	3.7	1.97
	3.66	3.58	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.05
	3.58	3.54	1.92
	3.5	3.55	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.33)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	1.97 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loughgall
26.3%

Draw
26.5%

Carrick Rangers
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

26.6%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Loughgall - Carrick Rangers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Loughgall (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Turker B. (G) 6. Kelly T. 21. Magee B. 30. McCaffrey F. 32. McLaughlin K. 16. McMenemy L. 4. Murdock B. 17. O'Brien M. 7. Pablo Andrade 8. Strain R. 27. Towe A.	1. Glendinning R. (G) 16. Clucas S. 19. Crowe J. 24. Gibson D. 23. Glendinning R. 22. Heatley P. 11. Maciulaitis N. 12. McCullough L. (C) 31. O'Brien L. 35. O’Reilly J. 5. Watson A.
Substitutes
5. Brogan O. 47. Da Silva Guterres O. 31. Gartside N. (G) 13. Gibson J. 33. Kelly D. 20. Mahon R. 57. Woolsey Z.	10. Allen C. 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 7. Cushley D. 33. Forbes S. 34. Hastings J. 41. McIntyre J. (G) 29. Webb R.
Coaches
Murphy D.	Baxter S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, McLaughlin K. ⚽, Waide R. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Watson A. ⚽, Crowe J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Clucas S. ↓, Cushley D. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, McCullough L. ⚽, O'Brien L. (A),
64', Maciulaitis N. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
64', Glendinning R. ↓, Webb R. ↑,
64', Heatley P. ↓, Forbes S. ↑,
77', Gibson D. ↓, Hastings J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Magee B. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Loughgall won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Loughgall have a series of guest games.

Carrick Rangers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Loughgall won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.7:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Loughgall won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Premiership
12.04.25	Portadown - Loughgall	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Glenavon - Loughgall	0:1 ✺
01.04.25	Ballymena United - Loughgall	5:2 ✺
22.03.25	Loughgall - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Crusaders - Loughgall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 LWLWT
- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
12.04.25	Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	4:1 ✺
01.04.25	Carrick Rangers - Cliftonville	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Cliftonville - Carrick Rangers	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Carrick Rangers - Glentoran	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
22.02.25	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	0:0
14.12.24	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	0:0
17.08.24	Loughgall - Carrick Rangers	3:0
20.04.24	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	2:1
24.02.24	Loughgall - Carrick Rangers	3:3
02.12.23	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	2:2
07.10.23	Loughgall - Carrick Rangers	3:4

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