Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Premiership - Round 32

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Seaview (Belfast)

Referee: Milligan M. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Crusaders		Loughgall

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	6
	1.39	4.7	6.8
	1.41	4.72	6.82
	1.4	4.66	7.34	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7
	1.43	4.59	6.63
	1.39	4.7	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)	4.59 ↑ (3.91)	6.77 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crusaders
66%

Draw
20.3%

Loughgall
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

23.6%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crusaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crusaders's performance.

Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Loughgall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crusaders than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crusaders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Loughgall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Crusaders - Loughgall Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Crusaders will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Tuffey J. (G) 43. Barr L. 12. Blaney J. 4. Callacher J. 25. Clarke R. 14. Forsythe J. 29. Franklin H. 8. Jewitt-White H. 7. Lowry P. 15. O'Rourke J. 6. Weir R.	31. Gartside N. (G) 18. Balde A. 25. Carroll J. 13. Gibson J. 29. McCloskey C. 32. McLaughlin K. 16. McMenemy L. 4. Murdock B. (C) 7. Pablo Andrade 8. Strain R. 27. Towe A.
Substitutes
28. Boyd J. 40. Brown R. (G) 24. King A. 20. Larmour D. 27. Nixon S. 22. O'Connor J. 10. Stewart J.	19. Francis L. 33. Kelly D. 21. Magee B. 20. Mahon R. 30. McCaffrey F. 17. O'Brien M. 1. Turker B. (G)
Coaches
Caddell D.	Johnstone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Gartside N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Balde A. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
65', McMenemy L. ↓, McCaffrey F. ↑,
65', McCloskey C. ↓, O'Brien M. ↑,
69', 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Stewart J. ⚽,
81', 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Magee B. ⚽, Mahon R. (A),

Preview

Loughgall is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 4.

Recent matches Crusaders is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Loughgall has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Loughgall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Crusaders is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:4 (average 2.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Crusaders won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crusaders FC
Northern Irish Premiership
07.03.25	Crusaders - Linfield	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.25	Crusaders - Cliftonville	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
22.02.25	Glenavon - Crusaders	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Crusaders - Ballymena United	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Larne - Crusaders	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLWWW
- Loughgall FC
Northern Irish Premiership
08.03.25	Loughgall - Larne	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Loughgall - Glenavon	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
01.03.25	Ards - Loughgall	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
26.02.25	Loughgall - Larne	1:4 ✺
22.02.25	Carrick Rangers - Loughgall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
09.11.24	Crusaders - Loughgall	3:1
28.09.24	Loughgall - Crusaders	0:4
17.02.24	Loughgall - Crusaders	0:1
11.11.23	Loughgall - Crusaders	1:2
02.09.23	Crusaders - Loughgall	1:1
Northern Irish League Cup
30.08.16	Crusaders - Loughgall	3:1

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