The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Louisville City 43.1%
Draw 28.5%
Detroit City 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.7%
25.9%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
24.4%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Louisville City's form might have worsened.
Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Louisville City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Louisville City - Detroit City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Schewe R. (G) 4. Totsch S. 5. Dayes B. 32. Adams K. (C) 27. Davila E. 6. Duncan Z. 19. Niang B. 3. Morris J. 47. Akale M. 28. Duke C. 7. Serrano R.
1. Herrera C. (G) 12. Bryant M. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 3. Stanley A. 8. Diop A. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 14. Yamazaki H. 10. Cedeno J. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.
Substitutes
99. Conley C. 8. Davila T. 13. Dia A. 31. Lambert K. 2. McFadden A. 16. Moguel C. 15. Perez E. 14. Showunmi T. 30. Troutman R. (G)
15. Dalou A. 26. Egbuchulam C. 19. Niang C. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 91. Saldana C. (G) 33. Silva T. 2. Williams R.
Coaches
Bird S.
Dichio D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Niang B. 🟨,
32', Hernandez-Foster K. 🟨,
33', Montgomery C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Duncan Z. ↓, Davila T. ↑,
46', Diouf A. ↓, Niang C. ↑,
46', Cedeno J. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
47', Morris J. 🟨,
65', Niang B. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
65', Morris J. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
74', Dichio D. 🟨,
75', Stanley A. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
75', Smith D. ↓, Egbuchulam C. ↑,
76', Duke C. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
82', Davila E. ↓, Lambert K. ↑,
88', Serrano R. 🟨,
Preview
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
Detroit City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 2.
Louisville City has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Detroit City shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Detroit City could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Louisville City has faced a series of away games on the road.
Louisville City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Louisville City has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:9 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Louisville City against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 14:3 goals (averaging 2:0.4 per game).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
North Central America
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
Watch
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Schewe R. (G) 
Adams K. (C) 
Duncan Z. 
Niang B. 
Montgomery C. 
Yamazaki H. 
Cedeno J. 
Smith D. 
Lambert K. 
Showunmi T. 
Egbuchulam C. 
Rafa Mentzingen 
Saldana C. (G) 
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