The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Louisville City 53.5%
Draw 26.1%
Detroit City 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
25.7%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
26.8%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Louisville City - Detroit City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Faundez D. (G) 2. McFadden A. 5. Dayes B. 32. Adams K. (C) 15. Perez E. 8. Davila T. 27. Davila E. 3. Morris J. 47. Akale M. 9. Donovan C. 25. Wilson J.
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 3. Stanley A. 8. Diop A. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 10. Cedeno J. 21. Rodriguez M. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.
Substitutes
99. Conley C. 13. Dia A. 28. Duke C. 23. Gleadle S. 21. Huerman Q. 7. Serrano R. 14. Showunmi T. 4. Totsch S. 30. Troutman R. (G)
12. Bryant M. 26. Egbuchulam C. 20. Hope-Gund R. 9. Morris B. 91. Saldana C. (G) 23. Williams K. 6. Williams R.
Coaches
Bird S.
Dichio D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', McFadden A. 🟨,
43', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McFadden A. ↓, Totsch S. ↑,
53', Smith D. ↓, Egbuchulam C. ↑,
75', Wilson J. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
75', Morris J. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
77', Cedeno J. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
77', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
79', Donovan C. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
85', Rodriguez M. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
89', Stanley A. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Louisville City has had a series of away games.
In this match, Louisville City is considered a favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2.3:0.5).