Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA)

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN 2, ESPN+, KDKA+, Paramount+


	Orange County SC		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	3.00	2.30
	2.70	3.00	2.43
	2.99	3.15	2.71
	2.9	3.17	2.44	Watch
	2.95	2.90	2.60
	2.78	3.19	2.52	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orange County SC
32.5%

Draw
30.2%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29.8%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Orange County SC - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orange County SC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rando A. (G) 16. Lindsey J. 5. Brewitt T. (C) 15. Espy T. 23. Doghman R. 18. Palomino M. 8. Sylla O. 19. Partida K. 10. Hegardt C. 21. War M. 11. MacKinnon L.	1. Campuzano N. (G) 3. Barnes P. 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 28. Osumanu I. 19. Bassett S. 42. Walti J. 14. Mertz R. (C) 36. Tsukanome Y. 9. Dikwa A. 10. Ahl C.
Substitutes
12. Bazini Y. 20. Bunbury M. 2. Doody G. 31. Kadono T. (G) 27. Kelly S. 28. O'Brien F. 25. Solis E. 7. Wathuta S. 9. Zubak E.	7. Amann T. 8. Etou B. 18. Garcia J. 37. Goldthorp E. 15. Sample B. 24. Sheridan M. (G) 23. Vacter G.
Coaches
Stone D.	Vincent R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Palomino M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Partida K. ↓, Kelly S. ↑,
63', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
63', War M. ↓, Wathuta S. ↑,
63', MacKinnon L. ↓, Bazini Y. ↑,
71', Palomino M. ↓, Solis E. ↑,
78', Dikwa A. ↓, Amann T. ↑,
80', Walti J. 🟨,
85', Ahl C. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
86', Hegardt C. ↓, Bunbury M. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Bazini Y. ⚽,

Preview

Orange County SC is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Pittsburgh have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Orange County SC has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Orange County SC against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Orange County SC - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orange County SC
USL Championship
19.09.26	Lexington - Orange County SC	6:0 ✺
12.09.26	Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Orange County SC - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Oakland Roots - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Orange County SC - Tulsa	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTTL
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USL Championship
19.09.26	Detroit City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Miami - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
09.08.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC	1:1
16.03.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC	0:2
16.08.23	Orange County SC - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0
24.09.22	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Orange County SC	1:1

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