Match Info

Date: 12 March 2022, Saturday


	Lowestoft Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.25
	2.7	3.45	2.22
	2.89	3.51	2.3
	2.81	3.5	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.5)	3.43 ↓ (3.77)	2.26 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lowestoft Town
33%

Draw
26.6%

Hednesford Town
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

24.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

15.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lowestoft Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lowestoft Town's performance.

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hednesford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lowestoft Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hednesford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lowestoft Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lowestoft won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

Hednesford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hednesford have a series of guest games.

Hednesford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lowestoft won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Lowestoft won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.03.22	Lowestoft Town - Rushden & Diamonds	2:3 ✺
26.02.22	Redditch United - Lowestoft Town	4:2 ✺
12.02.22	Royston Town - Lowestoft Town	4:0 ✺
05.02.22	Lowestoft Town - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Lowestoft Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWL
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
08.03.22	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	3:3 ✺
05.03.22	Hednesford Town - Stratford Town	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
22.02.22	Stratford Town - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Redditch United - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
02.10.21	Hednesford Town - Lowestoft Town	2:0
26.09.20	Lowestoft Town - Hednesford Town	0:0
04.01.20	Lowestoft Town - Hednesford Town	0:2
10.08.19	Hednesford Town - Lowestoft Town	2:1
English National League North
23.02.16	Lowestoft Town - Hednesford Town	0:0
03.10.15	Hednesford Town - Lowestoft Town	2:1
11.04.15	Lowestoft Town - Hednesford Town	2:2

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