Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday


	Redditch United		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.1
	1.9	3.45	3.15
	1.92	3.6	3.2
	1.94	3.81	3.33
	1.91	3.6	3.2
	1.96	3.54	3.32
	1.95	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.91)	3.57 ↓ (3.58)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Redditch United
46.7%

Draw
25.3%

Hednesford Town
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

23.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Redditch United - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Hednesford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hednesford have a series of guest games.

Redditch will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Redditch won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Redditch won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Redditch United
English Southern League Central Division
03.12.22	Redditch United - Ilkeston	1:4 ✺
28.11.22	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Leiston - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Chelmsford City - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Redditch United - Mickleover Sports	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
06.12.22	Needham Market - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Hednesford Town - Stratford Town	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	St Ives Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
22.11.22	Stourbridge - Hednesford Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.08.22	Hednesford Town - Redditch United	0:1
12.02.22	Redditch United - Hednesford Town	1:1
07.03.20	Redditch United - Hednesford Town	0:1
22.10.19	Hednesford Town - Redditch United	4:0

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