Match Info

Date: 25 November 2020, Wednesday


	Lucchese		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.2
	2.95	2.95	2.3	Watch
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.85	2.95	2.36
	2.97	3.25	2.47
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	2.95	3.08	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	3.06 ↑ (2.88)	2.35 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
31%

Draw
29.9%

AlbinoLeffe
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31.4%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

23.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

AlbinoLeffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucchese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AlbinoLeffe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucchese - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lucchese has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches AlbinoLeffe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lucchese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

AlbinoLeffe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
22.11.20	Lucchese - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
18.11.20	Olbia - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Lucchese - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
22.10.20	Pro Patria - Lucchese	3:0 ✺
19.10.20	Lucchese - Como	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
15.11.20	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	AlbinoLeffe - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Grosseto - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega Pro - Promotion
24.05.17	AlbinoLeffe - Lucchese	0:0
21.05.17	Lucchese - AlbinoLeffe	1:0

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