Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porta Elisa (Lucca) 🌤️ ...


	Lucchese		Ghiviborgo

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.50	6.75
	1.32	4.3	7.2
	1.36	4.62	7.2
	1.33	4.4	7.15
	1.34	4.5	7.12
	1.35	4.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)	4.49 ↑ (3.93)	6.9 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lucchese
67%

Draw
20%

Ghiviborgo
13%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

21.6%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ghiviborgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Lucchese - Ghiviborgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 0, Mele F. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, El Hadoui A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group E Playoffs and 18th in the Relegation).

Lucchese has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ghiviborgo has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lucchese may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Lucchese holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lucchese	9	4	3	2	19:16	3	15
17	Ghiviborgo	9	0	3	6	7:17	-10	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.10.26	Sasso Marconi - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Lucchese - Ternana	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Lucchese	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.26	Grassina - Lucchese	3:6 ✺
27.09.26	Lucchese - Siena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTWWW
- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
18.10.26	Ghiviborgo - Montevarchi	0:3 ✺
04.10.26	Ghiviborgo - Tau Altopascio	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Prato - Ghiviborgo	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ghiviborgo - Mezzolara	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Lucchese - Ghiviborgo