Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lucchese		Modena

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.75	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.8
	3.75	3.2	1.86
	4.2	3.36	1.84
	3.9	3	1.91
	4.2	3.36	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.38)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	1.83 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucchese
22.7%

Draw
27.8%

Modena
49.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

22.6%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucchese - Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Lucchese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Modena is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Modena is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
06.02.22	Teramo - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Cesena - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Lucchese - Ancona	2:2 ✺
23.01.22	Olbia - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
18.01.22	Lucchese - Imolese	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTLT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.22	Modena - Cesena	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Reggiana - Modena	0:0 ✺
30.01.22	Virtus Entella - Modena	0:2 ✺
22.01.22	Modena - Fermana	2:0 ✺
22.12.21	Modena - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.21	Modena - Lucchese	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺

Lucchese - Modena