Match Info

Serie B - Round 28

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.2	Watch
	3.3	2.98	2.25	Watch
	3.63	3.04	2.33
	3.29	3.13	2.27	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.25
	3.54	3.03	2.28	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.71)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	2.23 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
27.1%

Draw
30.8%

Modena
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

28.1%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Virtus Entella - Modena Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Modena will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Modena (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Virtus Entella (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Modena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombi S. (G) 57. Del Lungo T. 3. Alborghetti M. 15. Marconi I. 23. Parodi L. (C) 8. Karic N. 32. Benedetti L. 26. Di Mario S. 24. Franzoni A. 10. Cuppone L. 11. Guiu B.	1. Chichizola L. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 28. Adorni D. 20. Nieling B. 2. Beyuku G. 71. Wiafe S. 16. Gerli F. (C) 8. Santoro S. 98. Zanimacchia L. 92. Defrel G. 9. Gliozzi E.
Substitutes
7. Bariti D. 77. Boccadamo A. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 19. Debenedetti A. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 4. Nichetti M. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 5. Squizzato N. 9. Stabile D. P. 17. Tirelli M. 6. Tiritiello A. 46. Turicchia R.	10. Ambrosino G. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 25. Dellavalle A. 99. De Luca M. 90. Imputato A. 13. Laidani A. (G) 17. Massolin Y. 11. Mendes P. 19. Nador S. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 7. Zampano F.
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Sottil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Marconi I. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Del Lungo T. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Tonoli D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Nieling B. 🟨,
57', Del Lungo T. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
57', Marconi I. ↓, Tiritiello A. ↑,
62', Guiu B. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
63', Benedetti L. ↓, Squizzato N. ↑,
69', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Zampano F. ↑,
69', Gliozzi E. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
69', Defrel G. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
74', Wiafe S. ↓, Imputato A. ↑,
77', Karic N. 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Karic N. ⚽,
85', Karic N. 🟨,
87', Cuppone L. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
87', Nieling B. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 3.

Virtus Entella has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Modena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Modena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Modena might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Modena: Pyyhtia N. (Inactive) Sersanti A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Mezzoni F. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
14	Entella	6	1	3	2	8:7	1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Modena - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
27.02.26	Monza - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Virtus Entella - Catanzaro	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Palermo - Virtus Entella	3:0 ✺
10.02.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Spezia - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
28.02.26	Modena - Padova	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Juve Stabia - Modena	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Venezia - Modena	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Modena - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.10.25	Modena - Virtus Entella	2:0
Italian Serie C Group B
30.01.22	Virtus Entella - Modena	0:2
25.09.21	Modena - Virtus Entella	1:2
Italian Serie B
16.04.16	Virtus Entella - Modena	1:0
28.11.15	Modena - Virtus Entella	0:1
06.06.15	Modena - Virtus Entella	1:1
30.05.15	Virtus Entella - Modena	2:2

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