Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 28

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Olbia		Gubbio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	3.1	1.8
	4.33	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4.09	3.1	1.84
	4.55	3.13	1.93
	4.2	3.2	1.8
	4.33	3.14	1.83
	4.2	3.2	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (4)	3.16 ↓ (3.34)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
21.5%

Draw
28.9%

Gubbio
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27.4%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

26.7%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Olbia - Gubbio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 23. Arboleda C. 17. Palomba L. 39. Motolese M. 43. Montebugnoli M. 4. Dessena D. 3. La Rosa L. (C) 20. Cavuoti N. 21. Biancu R. 10. Ragatzu D. 18. Nanni N.	77. Greco S. (G) 21. Corsinelli F. 4. Tozzuolo A. 15. Signorini A. (C) 23. Dimarco C. 20. Brambilla A. 8. Rosaia G. 78. Bumbu J. 18. Chierico L. 7. Di Massimo A. 11. Udoh P.
Substitutes
99. Bianchimano A. 90. Catania L. 27. Fabbri F. 33. Guidotti S. 6. Incerti D. F. 26. Mameli A. 7. Mordini D. 67. Scapin T. 19. Scaringi M. 22. van der Want M. (G) 2. Zallu F.	16. Calabrese B. 10. Desogus J. 25. Guerrini V. 27. Mancini C. 19. Morelli G. 31. Pirrello R. 28. Spina M. 22. Vettorel T. (G)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Olbia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gubbio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olbia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gubbio is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olbia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Olbia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
18.02.24	Pineto - Olbia	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	Olbia - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Ancona - Olbia	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Carrarese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Olbia - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLLW
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
19.02.24	Gubbio - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
14.02.24	Carrarese - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Gubbio - Pescara	4:0 ✺
02.02.24	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:3 ✺
28.01.24	Gubbio - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
22.10.23	Gubbio - Olbia	1:0
04.03.23	Gubbio - Olbia	0:1
29.10.22	Olbia - Gubbio	1:3
13.02.22	Gubbio - Olbia	1:1
03.10.21	Olbia - Gubbio	1:0

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