Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE C - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Padova		Lucchese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	3.7	5.75
	1.47	4	6.5	Watch
	1.48	3.75	6
	1.51	3.83	6.9
	1.46	3.7	7.07
	1.49	3.75	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	3.79 ↓ (3.8)	6.4 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
61.7%

Draw
24.1%

Lucchese
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.8%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

22.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Zanellati A. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 72. Faedo C. 14. Villa L. 58. Cretella C. 10. Radrezza I. 11. Dezi J. 17. Capelli A. 94. Zamparo L. 90. Tordini M.	1. Coletta J. (G) 23. Benassai F. 6. Tiritiello A. 21. Sabbione A. 14. Quirini E. 8. Tumbarello G. 30. Cangianiello S. 72. Visconti E. 11. Disanto F. 99. Magnaghi S. 7. Rizzo Pinna A.
Substitutes
27. Beccaro A. 20. Bortolussi M. 6. Crisetig L. 1. Donnarumma A. (G) 30. Favale G. 8. Fusi P. 28. Grosu D. 26. Kirwan N. 21. Liguori M. 22. Mangiaracina P. (G) 80. Susanu M. A. 7. Varas K.	2. Alagna M. 16. Astrologo A. 12. Berti F. (G) 22. Chiorra N. (G) 97. De Maria V. 17. Djibril M. 20. Fazzi N. 77. Guadagni G. 3. Perotta N. 19. Russo F. 4. Toma R.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Padova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lucchese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lucchese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Padova to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Padova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
24.02.24	Padova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	4:0 ✺
17.02.24	Padova - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Pro Patria - Padova	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Padova - Trento	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Virtus Verona - Padova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWTT
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.24	Pescara - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Juventus U23 - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
14.02.24	Lucchese - Sassari Torres	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Pineto - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Lucchese - SPAL	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
24.01.24	Lucchese - Padova	1:0

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