The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pontedera 24.5%
Draw 30.3%
Virtus Entella 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
27.4%
49.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
26.7%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Pontedera - Virtus Entella Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pontedera will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Tantalocchi E. (G) 23. Cerretti C. 19. Espeche M. 18. Guidi M. 21. Perretta G. 25. Pietra N. 27. Ladinetti R. 16. Sala M. 7. Ambrosini M. 11. Ianesi S. 14. Corona G.
99. Siaulys O. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 7. Tomaselli G. 14. Corbari A. 47. Di Noia G. 24. Franzoni A. 26. Di Mario S. 77. Guiu B. 9. Castelli D.
Substitutes
26. Benucci L. 1. Calvani S. (G) 24. Coviello A. 2. Gagliardi L. 3. Maggini F. 28. Maiello F. 6. Pretato M. 10. Ragatzu D. 30. Vivoli N. (G)
10. Casarotto M. 40. Costa G. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 21. Lipani J. 16. Manzi C. 43. Ndrecka A. 1. Paroni A. (G) 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 8. Siatounis A. 32. Zappella D.
Coaches
Menichini L.
Gallo F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Ianesi S. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Di Mario S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Corona G. ⚽,
62', Pietra N. ↓, Ragatzu D. ↑,
66', Corbari A. ↓, Lipani J. ↑,
67', Tomaselli G. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
67', Castelli D. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
71', Ambrosini M. ↓, Pretato M. ↑,
72', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
76', Guiu B. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
78', Guidi M. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
83', Sala M. 🟨,
89', Di Noia G. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
90+3', Gagliardi L. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 2.
Pontedera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Virtus Entella is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Virtus Entella will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:13 (average 0.8:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
Italy
Watch
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Tantalocchi E. (G) 
Espeche M. 
Siaulys O. (G) 
Guiu B. 
Ndrecka A. 
Siatounis A. 
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