Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 12

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Virtus Entella		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.5
	1.75	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.26	4.95
	1.84	3.31	4.56	Watch
	1.7	3.25	4.75
	1.69	3.32	4.89	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.69)	3.31 ↓ (3.34)	4.74 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
52.8%

Draw
27.8%

Lucchese
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

27.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-2%)

Virtus Entella - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Del Frate F. (G) 16. Manzi C. 6. Tiritiello A. 23. Parodi L. (C) 13. Zappella D. 24. Franzoni A. 21. Lipani J. 47. Di Noia G. 26. Di Mario S. 10. Casarotto M. 9. Castelli D.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 13. Fazzi N. 33. Sabbione A. 4. Dumbravanu D. 29. Antoni E. 14. Quirini E. 24. Welbeck N. 8. Tumbarello G. (C) 31. Catanese G. 70. Saporiti E. 9. Magnaghi S.
Substitutes
14. Corbari A. 40. Costa G. 77. Guiu B. 15. Marconi I. 43. Ndrecka A. 1. Paroni A. (G) 19. Piredda M. 90. Portanova D. 29. Santini C. 8. Siatounis A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 7. Tomaselli G.	23. Botrini T. 26. Cartano R. 1. Coletta J. (G) 7. Djibril M. 5. Frison F. 30. Gemignani A. 38. Leone M. 11. Ndiaye B. 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A. 21. Visconti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Welbeck N. 🟨,
64', Zappella D. ↓, Tomaselli G. ↑,
68', Casarotto M. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
73', Saporiti E. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
79', 🟨,
82', Di Mario S. ↓, Ndrecka A. ↑,
82', Castelli D. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
82', Di Noia G. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
85', Welbeck N. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
85', Magnaghi S. ↓, Sasanelli L. ↑,
90+3', Corbari A. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 1.

Virtus Entella is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lucchese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Virtus Entella to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
27.10.24	Pontedera - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Virtus Entella - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Perugia - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Virtus Entella - Legnago Salus	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWWW
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
27.10.24	Lucchese - Pescara	1:3 ✺
20.10.24	Carpi - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Lucchese - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Perugia - Lucchese	4:0 ✺
30.09.24	Lucchese - Milan Futuro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.24	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	0:0
13.11.23	Lucchese - Virtus Entella	1:0
06.04.23	Lucchese - Virtus Entella	0:0
03.12.22	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.11.22	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.22	Lucchese - Virtus Entella	3:0
12.09.21	Virtus Entella - Lucchese	2:0

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