Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Fesnic H. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ludogorets Razgrad		PAOK

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	2.05
	3.6	3.25	2.2
	3.88	3.36	2.13
	3.69	3.34	2.08	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.7	3.6	2.14
	3.5	3.4	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.39)	3.38 ↓ (3.52)	2.1 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
26.4%

Draw
28.3%

PAOK
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.9%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

27.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	24.2%	60.6%

Ludogorets Razgrad - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). PAOK will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 43.9% – 77.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ludogorets (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PAOK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 1 - 16.7%). PAOK (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 24. Verdon O. 4. Almeida D. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 26. Kaloc F. 14. Stanic P. 23. Duarte D. 11. Caio Vidal 29. Bile E. 37. Tekpetey B.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 3. Kenny J. 16. Kedziora T. 4. Vogliacco A. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 8. Meite S. 77. Despodov K. 18. Ivanusec L. 11. Taison (C) 9. Chalov F.
Substitutes
18. Chochev I. 77. Erick Marcus 67. Hristov D. (G) 10. Machado M. 55. Nachmias I. 1. Padt S. (G) 81. Penev G. 42. Shishkov S. 80. Stefanov M. 82. Yordanov I.	39. Berdos D. 22. Bianco A. 2. Camara M. 52. Chatsidis D. 65. Konstantelias G. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 56. Mythou A. 32. Taylor G. 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 33. Tsopouroglou D. 14. Zivkovic A.
Coaches
Hogmo P.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 1 - 0, Stanic P. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Despodov K. ⚽, Ivanusec L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', Verdon O. 🟨,
48', 1 - 2, Vogliacco A. ⚽, Despodov K. (A),
53', Bile E. 🟨,
61', Ivanusec L. ↓, Konstantelias G. ↑,
66', Bile E. ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
67', Taison ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
67', Ozdoev M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
68', Chalov F. ↓, Mythou A. ↑,
69', Camara M. 🟨,
71', 2 - 2, Verdon O. ⚽, Almeida D. (A),
72', Caio Vidal ↓, Erick Marcus ↑,
72', Kaloc F. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
77', 3 - 2, Chochev I. ⚽, Stanic P. (A),
81', Chochev I. 🟨,
85', Meite S. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Mythou A. ⚽, Konstantelias G. (A),
90+1', Tekpetey B. ↓, Machado M. ↑,

Preview

Ludogorets has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

PAOK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

PAOK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ludogorets: Kurtulus E. (Injury) Terziev G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Balde M. (Inactive) Gugeshashvili L. (Inactive) Michailidis G. (Inactive) Murg T. (Inactive) Pelkas D. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.12.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slavia Sofia	1:1 ✺
04.12.25	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.11.25	Septemvri Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWWW
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
07.12.25	PAOK - Aris	3:1 ✺
Greek Cup
03.12.25	Aris - PAOK	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
30.11.25	Levadiakos - PAOK	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	PAOK - Brann	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
23.11.25	PAOK - AE Kifisia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWTW

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