Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Petrocub-Hîncești

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9.5	Watch
	1.32	5.5	9
	1.3	5.5	10	Watch
	1.31	5.42	9.99
	1.3	5.38	9.11	Watch
	1.22	5.5	10
	1.32	5.44	10.4	Watch
	1.3	5.5	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)	5.41 ↑ (4.7)	9.75 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
72.8%

Draw
17.5%

Petrocub-Hîncești
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.6%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

19.2%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Petrocub-Hîncești has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrocub-Hîncești than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	7%	7%

Ludogorets Razgrad - Petrocub Hîncești Predictions

Users Predictions: Ludogorets Razgrad will win (34 of 37 users predict this - 91.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.09% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Padt S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 15. Kurtulus E. 4. Almeida D. 17. Son 6. Piotrowski J. (C) 12. Rwan Seco 30. Pedro Naressi 7. Rick 9. Duah K. 11. Caio Vidal	1. Smalenea S. (G) 66. Bors I. 4. Mudrac V. 11. Platica S. 90. Jardan I. 19. Platica M. 39. Lungu T. 94. Cotogoi C. 30. Jardan V. 9. Ambros V. (C) 22. Caruntu M.
Substitutes
39. Bonmann H. (G) 20. Camara A. 18. Chochev I. 90. Delev S. 23. Duarte D. 14. Gropper D. 67. Hristov D. (G) 8. Nedelev T. 3. Nedyalkov A. 19. Rusev G. 24. Verdon O. 82. Yordanov I.	71. Bivol D. 32. Covali D. (G) 8. Demian D. 6. Diallo B. 31. Dodon V. (G) 23. Lupan M. 5. Narh G. 93. Sandu C.
Coaches
Sirakov Z.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Duah K. ⚽, Caio Vidal (A),
28', Platica M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Caruntu M. ↓, Lupan M. ↑,
51', Piotrowski J. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Rwan Seco ⚽, Rick (A),
62', Rwan Seco ↓, Camara A. ↑,
62', Son ↓, Nedyalkov A. ↑,
63', Ambros V. ↓, Demian D. ↑,
70', Rick ↓, Rusev G. ↑,
70', Pedro Naressi ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
78', Platica M. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
80', Duah K. ↓, Nedelev T. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Almeida D. ⚽, Nedelev T. (A),
90+5', 4 - 0, Almeida D. ⚽, Nedelev T. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Petrocub could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ludogorets is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Levski Sofia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Qarabağ Agdam	2:7 ET ✺
06.08.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.08.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Arda Kardzhali	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Dinamo Minsk - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWL
- Petrocub-Hîncești
Moldovan Super Liga
18.08.24	Sheriff Tiraspol - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.24	The New Saints - Petrocub-Hîncești	0:0 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
09.08.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - Florești	Floresti awarded ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.24	Petrocub-Hîncești - APOEL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LT?WT

Upcoming Matches