Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)


	Ajax		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7	Watch
				Watch
	1.36	5.3	7.5
	1.38	5	7
	1.37	5.36	8.13
	1.33	4.4	7
	1.33	5.6	7.7
	1.39	5.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.18)	5.18 ↓ (6.8)	7.36 ↓ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
69%

Draw
18.2%

Ludogorets Razgrad
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.5%

13.8%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludogorets Razgrad's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Ajax - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gorter J. (G) 2. Rensch D. 18. Medic J. 4. Hato J. 5. Wijndal O. 21. van den Boomen B. 33. Tahirovic B. 8. Taylor K. 11. Borges C. 9. Brobbey B. 7. Bergwijn S. (C)	12. Sluga S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 26. Sundberg N. 24. Verdon O. 44. Heister M. 82. Yordanov I. 8. Goncalves C. 6. Piotrowski J. 77. Caio Vidal 99. Rwan Seco 37. Tekpetey B. (C)
Substitutes
43. Aertssen O. 49. Banel J. 23. Berghuis S. 3. Gaaei A. 39. Godts M. 38. Hlynsson K. 6. Klaassen D. 40. Ramaj D. (G) 36. Rasmussen Theodor C. K. 17. Salah-Eddine A. 51. Setford C. (G) 24. Vos S.	90. Delev S. 11. Despodov K. 1. Padt S. (G) 30. Pedro Naressi 69. Pepelyashev P. (G) 32. Plastun I. 7. Rick 22. Russo F. 17. Son 5. Terziev G. 10. Tissera M. 64. Yankov D.
Coaches
Steijn M.	Petev I.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ludogorets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ajax have a series of guest games.

Recently Ludogorets have a series of home games.

In this match Ajax is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ajax	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
19.08.23	Excelsior - Ajax	2:2 ✺
12.08.23	Ajax - Heracles Almelo	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.23	Borussia Dortmund - Ajax	3:1 ✺
29.07.23	Augsburg - Ajax	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTWLL
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ajax	1:4 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.08.23	Cherno More Varna - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Astana	5:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - CSKA Sofia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Ajax	1:4

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