Match Info

Primera C - Round 24

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday


	Lugano		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.70	2.30
	3.10	2.85	2.25	Watch
	3.09	2.64	2.44
	3.14	2.71	2.47	Watch
	3.05	2.60	2.40
	3.01	2.88	2.57
	3.05	2.70	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.73 ↓ (2.85)	2.4 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
29.3%

Draw
33.1%

Club Luján
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

31.4%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

32.4%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Club Luján has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Lugano - Club Luján Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Dopazo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, Cagliari T. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Rojas F. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Club Luján could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lugano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.86%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
09.08.26	Lugano - Victoriano Arenas	0:0 ✺
31.07.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Lugano - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Lugano - Sportivo Barracas	3:2 ✺
12.07.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Lugano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWWWT
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
09.08.26	Club Luján - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Estrella del Sur - Club Luján	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Atlético Claypole - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
26.07.26	Club Luján - Central Ballester	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	El Porvenir - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
18.04.26	Club Luján - Lugano	0:0
21.09.24	Lugano - Club Luján	1:3
21.04.24	Club Luján - Lugano	2:1

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