Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Lugano		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.65	2.45
	2.42	4.13	2.42
	2.38	3.5	2.38
	2.47	3.9	2.43	Watch
	2.5	3.66	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.55)	3.77 ↓ (3.8)	2.44 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugano
37.7%

Draw
24.5%

Viktoria Plzeň
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

24%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

24.2%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.

Viktoria Plzeň has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viktoria Plzeň might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoria Plzeň could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugano - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lugano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	44. Wiegele F. (G)
	40. Dweh S.
	24. Havel M.
	17. Hrosovsky P. (C)
	20. Panos J.
	19. Souare C.
	5. Spacil K.
	34. Suchy D.
	32. Valenta M.
	51. Vasulin D.
	9. Visinsky D.
Substitutes
	80. Adu P.
	11. Chalupa J.
	14. Doski M.
	21. Jemelka V.
	7. Kabongo C.
	. Kadlec A.
	37. Krcik D.
	. Novak J.
	1. Silhavy M. (G)
	. Sloncik T.
	. Sojka A.
	. Tapaj D. (G)
	13. Tvrdon M. (G)
	85. Zeljkovic A.

Key Events of the Match

(2 - 4)

Preview

Neutral location.

Lugano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Plzeň has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Plzeň is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Lugano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lugano
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Lugano - Köln	1:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
21.12.25	Lugano - Young Boys	3:0 ✺
17.12.25	Zürich - Lugano	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Lugano - Servette	4:2 ✺
07.12.25	Lausanne-Sport - Lugano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWT
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
14.12.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Panathinaikos - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
06.12.25	Slovácko - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
02.11.17	Viktoria Plzeň - Lugano	4:1
19.10.17	Lugano - Viktoria Plzeň	3:2

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