Match Info

Date: 15 August 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)

Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)


	Lugo		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.87	3.1
	2.3	3	3.4
	2.28	3	3.25
	2.43	2.98	3.57
				Watch
	2.19	3.02	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.13)	2.98 ↓ (3.18)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
41.1%

Draw
31.5%

Albacete Balompié
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

29%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.8%	27.7%	8.5%

Lugo - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 30 - 63.8%). Albacete will win (votes: 4 - 8.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 27.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugo: 50.1% – 77.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (8.66%), has project points - 49, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (31%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Albacete has the most likely position - 22 (12.68%), has project points - 46, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 27, importance 39, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 3.

Recent matches Lugo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Albacete is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Albacete could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lugo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Lugo won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Lugo - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	Chaves - Lugo	0:0 ✺
27.07.22	Pontevedra - Lugo	1:0 ✺
23.07.22	Ourense CF - Lugo	0:3 ✺
20.07.22	Lugo - Burgos	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLWL
- Albacete Balompié
Club Friendly
08.08.22	Albacete Balompié - Socuéllamos	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Albacete Balompié - Getafe	1:0 ✺
04.08.22	Eldense - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
27.07.22	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Majadahonda	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.21	Albacete Balompié - Lugo	1:1
14.11.20	Lugo - Albacete Balompié	1:0
18.01.20	Lugo - Albacete Balompié	1:0
09.11.19	Albacete Balompié - Lugo	0:1
23.03.19	Lugo - Albacete Balompié	0:3
18.11.18	Albacete Balompié - Lugo	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.09.18	Albacete Balompié - Lugo	2:3

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