Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Anxo Carro (Lugo)


	Lugo		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.75
	1.85	3.1	3.75
	1.95	3.4	3.75
	2.21	3.2	3.34
	1.88	3.4	4.17
	1.92	3.43	3.89
	1.86	3.3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.5)	3.3 ↑ (3)	3.79 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
47.7%

Draw
27.9%

Cornellà
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.6%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cornellà might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cornellà could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lugo - Cornellà Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Tabuaco G. (G) 2. Martinez C. 5. Bernardo 6. Castrin A. 22. Lopez A. 15. Narro V. 9. Quintana Nacho 8. Aguza S. 18. Jozabed 10. Aranda A. 23. Antonetti L.	1. Mino R. (G) 15. Mas J. 4. Hernandez A. 5. Vilaplana Dachs M. 20. Verges E. 11. Simon R. 6. Toni Arranz 18. Caballero A. 8. Ortiz A. 10. Mendes C. 9. Sutherland T.
Substitutes
11. Antonin 21. da Costa M. 1. Diaz Parcero L. (G) 19. Fuentes A. 27. Gonzalez J. 7. Ledesma L. 30. Lizancos A. 17. Merida F. 14. Morgado C. 20. Ojeda T. 4. Perez G.	17. Canario 22. Gonpi A. 14. Kike Lopez 13. Meykher Y. (G) 21. Rios E. 46. Soma P. 28. Tejada H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Antonetti L. ⚽,
11', Mas J. 🟨,
28', Aguza S. 🟨,
43', Bernardo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Simon R. ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, Narro V. ⚽,
56', 3 - 1, Antonetti L. ⚽,
60', Mas J. ↓, Kike Lopez ↑,
60', Simon R. ↓, Gonpi A. ↑,
60', Toni Arranz ↓, Canario ↑,
66', Quintana Nacho ↓, Merida F. ↑,
66', Antonetti L. ↓, Ledesma L. ↑,
69', Sutherland T. ↓, Soma P. ↑,
69', Mendes C. ↓, Tejada H. ↑,
74', Aranda A. ↓, Fuentes A. ↑,
74', Narro V. ↓, Antonin ↑,
81', Ledesma L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
88', Hernandez A. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lugo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cornellà has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lugo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lugo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.05.24	Arenteiro - Lugo	1:3 ✺
27.04.24	Lugo - Rayo Majadahonda	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Barcelona B - Lugo	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Celta de Vigo B - Lugo	4:1 ✺
07.04.24	Lugo - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLL
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.05.24	Cornellà - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
27.04.24	Cornellà - Sestao	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Sabadell - Cornellà	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Cornellà - Arenteiro	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Real Unión de Irun - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.12.23	Cornellà - Lugo	1:0

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