Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Celta de Vigo B		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	1.82	3.35	4.05
	1.74	3.86	4.26
	1.73	4.03	4.13	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4
	1.77	3.34	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	3.5 ↓ (3.56)	4.12 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
51.8%

Draw
26.1%

Lugo
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

25.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Celta de Vigo B - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gonzalez M. (G) 26. Rodriguez A. 6. Meixus P. 3. Ribes K. 2. Gavian P. 5. Burcio H. 8. Antanon A. 18. Lopez J. 7. Gonzalez H. 16. Capdevila A. 17. Somuah B.	1. Martinez M. (G) 16. Jose Amo 3. Garriz I. 26. Balcedo T. 2. Rodriguez Y. 14. Presa K. 8. Balboa A. 17. Caballo D. 31. Alcalde A. 19. Unzueta I. 23. Junior L.
Substitutes
11. Arcos A. 21. Bilbao L. 1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 10. de la Iglesia D. 37. Kibet A. 23. Miller G. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 14. Oliveras J. 35. Perez-Lafuente J. 29. Sobral M. 4. Vazquez J.	10. Alba T. 27. Buide M. 36. Candal J. (G) 9. Celorio N. 18. Costa G. 12. Perera A. 13. Piedra I. (G) 15. Reniero N. 22. Samanes S. 25. Sanchez B. 21. Teofilovic O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Ribes K. 🟨,
22', Presa K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Presa K. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
56', Junior L. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
59', Samanes S. 🟨,
64', Ribes K. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
72', Unzueta I. ↓, Reniero N. ↑,
72', Alcalde A. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
72', Lopez J. ↓, Oliveras J. ↑,
72', Somuah B. ↓, Perez-Lafuente J. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Reniero N. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 9).

Celta de Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 2.

Celta de Vigo B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lugo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lugo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Celta de Vigo B is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta de Vigo B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lugo	6	5	1	0	9:3	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.26	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	2:4 ✺
01.05.26	Celta de Vigo B - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pontevedra - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Celta de Vigo B - Cacereño	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Celta de Vigo B	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLTWW
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.26	Lugo - Zamora	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Mérida AD - Lugo	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Barakaldo - Lugo	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lugo - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ourense CF - Lugo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.25	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	2:0
19.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Lugo	1:2
19.10.24	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:0
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.04.24	Celta de Vigo B - Lugo	4:1
02.01.24	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	0:1
Club Friendly
15.08.23	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:0

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