Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 27

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Vega A. C. (Esp)


	Las Palmas		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7	Watch
	1.4	4	8
	1.42	4.3	8
	1.42	4.38	9.36
	1.4	4.33	8.9	Watch
	1.43	4.1	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	4.24 ↑ (4)	8.21 ↓ (9.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
66.3%

Draw
22.2%

Lugo
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

23.5%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

22.5%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Las Palmas - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Las Palmas has the most likely position - 1 (20.52%), has project points - 72, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (50%), has a chance of win league (21%).

Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (31.85%), has project points - 38, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (89%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 50, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 2.

Las Palmas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lugo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Las Palmas is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Las Palmas to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Las Palmas won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Palmas won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
06.02.23	Burgos - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Las Palmas - Huesca	1:0 ✺
20.01.23	Las Palmas - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Ibiza - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWT
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
05.02.23	Lugo - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Albacete Balompié - Lugo	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Lugo - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
15.01.23	Mirandés - Lugo	2:0 ✺
06.01.23	Leganés - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.22	Lugo - Las Palmas	0:1
26.02.22	Las Palmas - Lugo	2:2
20.10.21	Lugo - Las Palmas	2:0
01.04.21	Las Palmas - Lugo	6:1
02.12.20	Lugo - Las Palmas	1:1
20.06.20	Las Palmas - Lugo	1:0
05.10.19	Lugo - Las Palmas	0:2

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