Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 18

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Sanchez Lopez R. (Esp)


	Racing Santander		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.1	4.2
	1.85	3.2	4.8
	1.92	3.15	4.1
	1.98	3.2	4.61
	1.91	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.95	3.28	4.15	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.94)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	4.31 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
48.9%

Draw
29.3%

Lugo
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

27.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.4%	17.3%	17.3%

Racing Santander - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 34 - 65.4%). Lugo will win (votes: 9 - 17.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 52.5% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Racing has the most likely position - 19 (8.81%), has project points - 50, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (21.08%), has project points - 42, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Racing won 1.

Recent matches Racing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lugo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Racing won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.22	Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Racing Santander - Burgos	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	FC Andorra - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
01.11.22	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Leganés - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWTT
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.22	Lugo - Levante	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	FC Andorra - Lugo	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
07.11.22	Lugo - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
02.11.22	Eibar - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.06.20	Racing Santander - Lugo	1:2
17.11.19	Lugo - Racing Santander	1:1
Club Friendly
27.07.18	Lugo - Racing Santander	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.15	Racing Santander - Lugo	1:0
16.11.14	Lugo - Racing Santander	0:0
23.03.13	Lugo - Racing Santander	3:2
21.10.12	Racing Santander - Lugo	0:0

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