Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 38

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ourense CF		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.15	3	3
	2.68	3.05	2.52
	2.72	3.19	2.49
	2.82	3.34	2.4	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.45
	2.47	3.08	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.82)	3.08 ↓ (3.29)	2.56 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
35%

Draw
29.5%

Tenerife
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Ourense CF - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ourense CF will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tenerife will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ourense CF (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 5. Prado M. 22. Yuste A. 4. Carmona F. 12. Jelbat A. 3. Sanz H. 17. Hernandez R. 6. Castillo N. 8. Ramos J. 11. Aranzabe A. 10. Ochoa M.	13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 5. Yaakobishvili A. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 35. Hernandez J. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo 23. Jorge J. 22. Valles G. 18. Enric
Substitutes
7. Bouzaig A. 2. Coto E. 21. Guerrero A. 20. Gueye L. 24. Moreno C. 16. Munoz D. 14. Perez A. 23. Punzano I. 18. Rabadan D. 1. Raton A. (G) 15. Rivas L. 9. Sergio Benito	19. Alvarez C. 24. Chapela I. 29. Fernandez D. 10. Gil N. 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 40. Padilla Hernandez A. (G) 8. Perez J. 27. Ulloa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Enric ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, Ochoa M. ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, Yaakobishvili A. (Own goal),
90+5', Landazuri A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2

Ourense CF is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tenerife is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ourense CF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.05.26	Talavera de la Reina - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	2:4 ✺
03.05.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLTLT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.05.26	Tenerife - Pontevedra	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tenerife - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Ponferradina - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tenerife - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.09.25	Tenerife - Ourense CF	3:0

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