Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ourense CF		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	2.22	3.2	3
	2.25	3.35	2.96
	2.21	3.53	3	Watch
	2.15	3	2.9
	2.18	3.22	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.19)	3.23 ↓ (3.34)	3.02 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
41.8%

Draw
28.1%

Celta de Vigo B
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.8%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta de Vigo B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raton A. (G) 14. Perez A. 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 3. Sanz H. 21. Guerrero A. 24. Moreno C. 8. Ramos J. 17. Hernandez R. 9. Sergio Benito 6. Castillo N.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 3. Ribes K. 26. Rodriguez A. 6. Meixus P. 2. Gavian P. 5. Burcio H. 16. Capdevila A. 19. Marcos O. 7. Gonzalez H. 11. Arcos A. 9. Marin A.
Substitutes
11. Aranzabe A. 2. Coto E. 20. Gueye L. 12. Jelbat A. 16. Munoz D. 10. Ochoa M. 23. Punzano I. 18. Rabadan D. 15. Rivas L. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 22. Yuste A.	21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 10. de la Iglesia D. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 18. Lopez J. 23. Miller G. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 14. Oliveras J. 17. Somuah B. 4. Vazquez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Marin A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Hernandez R. ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 2 - 1, Guerrero A. ⚽,
55', Hernandez R. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
55', Moreno C. ↓, Rabadan D. ↑,
72', Capdevila A. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
73', Sergio Benito ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
73', Castillo N. ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
78', Arcos A. ↓, Oliveras J. ↑,
78', Meixus P. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Gonzalez H. ⚽,
83', Oliveras J. 🟨,
86', Ramos J. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', Burcio H. 🟨,
87', Munoz D. 🟨,
88', Gavian P. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
88', Marin A. ↓, de la Iglesia D. ↑,
88', Sanz H. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Somuah B. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+14', 2 - 4, de la Iglesia D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Celta de Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ourense CF could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home match between the teams, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Celta de Vigo B - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ourense CF - Lugo	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Real Avilés - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLTWL
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.05.26	Celta de Vigo B - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pontevedra - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Celta de Vigo B - Cacereño	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Celta de Vigo B	0:5 ✺
03.04.26	Real Madrid Castilla - Celta de Vigo B	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.10.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	0:0
Club Friendly
17.08.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	1:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.02.25	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	1:0
09.11.24	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.19	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	1:0

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