Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Luis Ángel Firpo		Once Deportivo Ahuachapan

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.2	4.5
	1.61	3.65	5.63
	1.65	3.59	5.58	Watch
	1.56	3.64	5.47
	1.77	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.39)	3.46 ↓ (3.8)	5.14 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Ángel Firpo
55.3%

Draw
26.7%

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

23.9%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

22.9%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Ángel Firpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luis Ángel Firpo's form might have worsened.

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Deportivo Ahuachapan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luis Ángel Firpo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Vasquez Guillen L. E. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, Garcia V. ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Luis Ángel Firpo won 2.

Luis Ángel Firpo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Once Deportivo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Once Deportivo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Luis Ángel Firpo is indisputable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Luis Ángel Firpo won 4 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Luis Ángel Firpo won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.5:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Ángel Firpo
El Salvador Primera Division
22.02.25	Isidro Metapán - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	CD FAS - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWLWW
- Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
El Salvador Primera Division
23.02.25	CD FAS - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	CD Dragón - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	4:0 ✺
12.02.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Cacahuatique - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Municipal Limeño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
08.12.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:1
04.12.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:1
27.10.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:3
25.08.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:3
10.04.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	5:1
07.02.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:1
16.11.23	Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:1

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