Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa (Lourosa)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)


	Lusitânia		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.3	3.9
	1.78	3.45	4.35
	1.88	3.55	4.51
	1.81	3.52	4.29	Watch
	1.81	3.52	4.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	4.31 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
51.6%

Draw
26.9%

Penafiel
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lusitânia - Penafiel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lusitânia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lusitânia will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Vitor Hugo (G) 74. Braga G. 4. Collard D. 22. Faria B. 16. Rocha L. 8. Tokinho Doria 88. Teixeira M. 11. Pereira M. 12. Arsenio (C) 77. Tiago Dias 9. Silva J.	32. Femenias J. (G) 22. Xico 5. Sanchez J. 3. Gustavo Fernandes 14. Pereira B. 21. Pedro Sa 8. Reko (C) 37. Davo 7. Vieira P. 20. Santos A. 19. Alcaina R.
Substitutes
6. Alhassan I. 29. Cerveira T. 60. Danny 20. Do Marcolino F. 27. Fabinho 21. Joao Vasco 7. Martins R. 28. Mesquita T. 23. Sousa M. (G)	88. Alves R. 17. Kebe I. 4. Miguel J. 33. Moreira C. 27. Negrao G. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 95. Sery J. 10. Silva J. 9. Suker H.
Coaches
Miguel Pedro	Russiano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Rocha L. 🟨,
41', Gustavo Fernandes 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Davo ↓, Silva J. ↑,
62', Vieira P. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
62', Alcaina R. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
65', Silva J. ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
65', Rocha L. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
77', Reko ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
78', Braga G. ↓, Danny ↑,
79', Teixeira M. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
84', Pereira B. ↓, Negrao G. ↑,
85', Arsenio ↓, Martins R. ↑,
90+2', Danny 🟨,

Preview

Lusitânia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Lusitânia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Penafiel - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 23.26%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 2
30.08.25	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Lusitânia - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Lusitânia - Chaves	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Marítimo - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Paços de Ferreira - Lusitânia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTTWW
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
30.08.25	Penafiel - Chaves	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Leixões - Penafiel	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Penafiel - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Portimonense - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Penafiel - Chaves	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.19	Penafiel - Lusitânia	0:0

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