Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Lusitânia		Pevidem

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.6	7.75	Watch
	1.28	4.8	8.75
	1.34	4.5	7.2
	1.34	4.77	9.18
	1.34	4.65	7.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	4.66 ↑ (4)	8.16 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
69.1%

Draw
19.6%

Pevidem
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.3%

18.5%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lusitânia's performance.

Pevidem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Lusitânia - Pevidem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Pevidem is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

Recent matches Lusitânia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pevidem has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pevidem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lusitânia is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
12.02.22	Felgueiras - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
09.02.22	Lusitânia - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
05.02.22	Lusitânia - Canelas	1:1 ✺
02.02.22	Anadia - Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
30.01.22	Fafe - Lusitânia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTLW
- GD Pevidem
Portuguese Liga 3
16.02.22	Pevidem - Anadia	0:2 ✺
11.02.22	Braga B - Pevidem	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Pevidem - Felgueiras	0:2 ✺
30.01.22	Canelas - Pevidem	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Pevidem - Fafe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
27.11.21	Pevidem - Lusitânia	0:1

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