Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 25

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Lusitânia		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.6	4.8
	1.52	3.55	5
	1.53	3.81	5.76
	1.6	3.78	5.1
	1.6	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	5.13 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
57.8%

Draw
24.6%

Valadares Gaia
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.9%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Lusitânia in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Valadares Gaia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lusitânia to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitânia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Camacha - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Lusitânia - Machico	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Leça - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Lusitânia - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Beira-Mar - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWW
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	3:2 ✺
19.03.23	Salgueiros 08 - Valadares Gaia	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Valadares Gaia - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Alpendorada - Valadares Gaia	1:3 ✺
26.02.23	Valadares Gaia - Resende	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Valadares Gaia - Lusitânia	2:0
31.01.21	Valadares Gaia - Lusitânia	0:0
15.11.20	Lusitânia - Valadares Gaia	5:2
17.11.19	Lusitânia - Valadares Gaia	5:0

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