Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Alpendorada		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	2.65	3.05	2.38
	3.18	3.18	2.26
	3.15	3.3	2.15
	3	3.15	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.68)	3.16 ↑ (3.09)	2.25 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
30.6%

Draw
28.9%

Valadares Gaia
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.2%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alpendorada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Camacha - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Alpendorada - Machico	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Leça - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Alpendorada - Castro Daire	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Beira-Mar - Alpendorada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWWL
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Valadares Gaia - Resende	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Valadares Gaia - Camacha	3:0 ✺
12.02.23	Machico - Valadares Gaia	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Valadares Gaia - Leça	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Castro Daire - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Valadares Gaia - Alpendorada	2:0

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