Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Bold+, Sport Live
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 2
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Triller TV+


	Estoril Praia		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	10	6.25	1.22	Watch
	11.5	6.4	1.21	Watch
	10.97	6.64	1.25
	40.00	10.25	1.05	Watch
	11	6.1	1.26	Watch
	9.4	5.8	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.48 ↑ (9)	6.91 ↑ (5.4)	1.21 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
6.2%

Draw
14%

Sporting Lisbon
79.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

17.2%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Sporting (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sporting (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Sporting (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Sporting (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Sporting (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robles J. (G) 44. Boma K. 4. Ferro 25. Bacher F. 2. Sanchez R. 10. Holsgrove J. 45. Patrick de Paula 24. Amaral P. 99. Guitane R. 9. Marques A. 12. Carvalho J. (C)	1. Silva R. (G) 13. Vagiannidis G. 6. Debast Z. 25. Inacio G. 20. Araujo M. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 5. Morita H. 7. Quenda G. 17. Trincao 8. Goncalves P. 97. Suarez L.
Substitutes
14. Begraoui Y. 90. Brito T. 22. Carvalho P. 17. Garcia F. 19. Lacximicant A. 7. Lominadze N. 21. Pizzi 5. Tsoungui A. 16. Turk M. (G)	27. Alisson Santos 10. Catamo G. 22. Fresneda I. 89. Ioannidis F. 14. Kochorashvili G. 91. Mangas R. 72. Quaresma E. 52. Simoes J. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Cathro I.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
34', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Morita H. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
48', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
61', Marques A. 🟨,
64', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
64', Patrick de Paula ↓, Lominadze N. ↑,
64', Marques A. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
73', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Fresneda I. ↑,
73', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
74', Quenda G. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
75', Amaral P. ↓, Begraoui Y. ↑,
75', Guitane R. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
84', Goncalves P. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
85', Catamo G. 🟨,
86', Begraoui Y. 🟨,
89', Carvalho P. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 0.

Estoril is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Estoril: Jandro (Inactive) Xeka (Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Catamo G. (Muscle Injury) Diomande O. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Silva R. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Costa G. (Inactive) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:39. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.7:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Lisbon - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 72.5%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
21.09.25	Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Estoril Praia - AVS	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Estoril Praia - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Tondela - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Estoril Praia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTL
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
22.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Sporting Lisbon - Kairat	4:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.09.25	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Nacional - Sporting Lisbon	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
03.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	3:1
27.09.24	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
11.05.24	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:1
05.01.24	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	5:1
27.02.23	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	2:0
02.09.22	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:2
20.02.22	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	3:0

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