Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Rio Ave (Vila do Conde)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Rio Ave		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.45	3.24	2.93	Watch
				Watch
	2.31	3.41	3.28	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.14)	3.28 ↓ (3.75)	3.17 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
41.4%

Draw
28.8%

Estoril Praia
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

24.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Rio Ave - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Estoril will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Estoril (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Estoril (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Estoril (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miszta C. (G) 63. Lomboto J. 32. Brabec J. 4. Panzo J. 17. Vrousai M. (C) 54. Liavas G. 5. Ntoi A. 3. Athanasiou N. 11. Andre Luiz 9. Clayton 18. Spikic D.	1. Robles J. (G) 44. Boma K. 25. Bacher F. 5. Tsoungui A. 22. Carvalho P. 6. Jandro 10. Holsgrove J. 20. Costa G. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 14. Begraoui Y. 19. Lacximicant A.
Substitutes
6. Abbey N. 10. Aguilera Zamora B. 22. Chamorro K. (G) 2. da Silva Moreira E. 21. Graca J. 28. Gual M. 44. Nikitscher T. 19. Papakanellos A. 80. Pohlmann O.	4. Ferro 99. Guitane R. 7. Lominadze N. 9. Marques A. 55. Parente T. 45. Patrick de Paula 70. Peixinho 21. Pizzi 16. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Sylaidopoulos S.	Cathro I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
21', Panzo J. 🟥,
27', Holsgrove J. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
45+3', 0 - 2, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Vrousai M. ↓, da Silva Moreira E. ↑,
56', Spikic D. ↓, Aguilera Zamora B. ↑,
59', Tsoungui A. ↓, Ferro ↑,
59', Costa G. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Lacximicant A. ⚽, Holsgrove J. (A),
67', Holsgrove J. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
67', Jandro ↓, Patrick de Paula ↑,
68', Miszta C. 🟨,
70', 0 - 4, Begraoui Y. (Pen),
71', Andre Luiz ↓, Gual M. ↑,
71', Lomboto J. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
76', Clayton 🟨,
82', Begraoui Y. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
83', Clayton ↓, Graca J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Rio Ave has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Estoril: Xeka (Injury)

There are questionable in Rio Ave: Richards O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Guitane R. (Injury) Sanchez R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
25.10.25	Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Sintrense - Rio Ave	3:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.10.25	Rio Ave - Tondela	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Famalicão - Rio Ave	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Benfica - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 WLWTT
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
26.10.25	Estoril Praia - Nacional	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Belenenses - Estoril Praia	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.10.25	Casa Pia - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Estoril Praia - Sporting Lisbon	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
22.02.25	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	2:1
21.09.24	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	2:2
31.01.24	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	1:1
20.08.23	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	2:0
13.02.23	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	2:0
19.08.22	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	2:2
Taça de Portugal
12.01.21	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	1:2

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