The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Farense 44.7%
Draw 28.9%
Estoril Praia 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
26.9%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.1%
27.3%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farense's performance.
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estoril Praia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estoril Praia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
25%
33.3%
Farense - Estoril Praia Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Estoril will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Velho R. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 4. Jorge A. 34. Raul Silva 28. Pastor 6. Neto 29. Claudio Falcao 31. Derick Poloni 7. Balde E. 19. Millan A. 11. Bermejo A.
27. Robles J. (G) 20. Pina W. 23. Alvaro P. (C) 44. Boma K. 24. Amaral P. 7. Vinicius Zanocelo 10. Holsgrove J. 8. Costa da Silva M. 14. Begraoui Y. 9. Marques A. 17. Garcia Andrade F.
Substitutes
41. Candeias A. 23. Canizares L. (G) 17. Cuba 16. Geovanny 93. Menino M. 3. Moreno M. 2. Paulo Victor 70. Rivaldo 10. Velasquez J.
25. Bacher F. 1. Chamorro K. (G) 18. Costa G. 26. Foe Ondoa M. 6. Jandro 19. Lacximicant A. 5. Mangala E. 92. Salazar I. P. 3. Sierra I.
Coaches
Marreco T.
Cathro I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Boma K. 🟨,
16', Begraoui Y. (Pen),
22', Bermejo A. 🟨,
42', Neto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Begraoui Y. ↓, Lacximicant A. ↑,
63', Balde E. ↓, Candeias A. ↑,
68', Neto ↓, Menino M. ↑,
68', Bermejo A. ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
73', Pina W. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
73', Garcia Andrade F. ↓, Salazar I. P. ↑,
73', Holsgrove J. ↓, Jandro ↑,
77', Costa da Silva M. 🟨,
77', Raul Silva 🟨,
79', Millan A. ↓, Cuba ↑,
79', Derick Poloni ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
80', Jandro 🟨,
90', Jorge A. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Raul Silva ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 3.
Farense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Estoril is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Farense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Farense will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Farense: Kaique Pereira
(Forearm injury)
There are questionable in Estoril: Carvalho J.
(Injury)
Costa H.
(Injury)
Xeka
(Muscle Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Farense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.1:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).
Finland
Portugal
Romania
Ukraine
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Velho R. (C) 
Lucas Africo 
Balde E. 
Millan A. 
Pina W. 
Boma K. 
Holsgrove J. 
Begraoui Y. 
Marques A. 
Velasquez J. 
Bacher F. 
Chamorro K. (G) 
Foe Ondoa M. 
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