Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)


	Feirense		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.2
	3.2	3	2.28
	3.41	3.05	2.38
	3.61	3.08	2.16
	3	2.88	2.3
	3.25	3.04	2.31	Watch
	3.33	2.9	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.48)	2.98 ↑ (2.95)	2.28 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
28.3%

Draw
31.1%

Marítimo
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

31.3%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

30.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Feirense - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Marítimo will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Feirense (votes: 2 - 50%). Marítimo (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Feirense (2.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Feirense (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Marítimo (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meixedo F. (G) 2. Gustavo 4. Leal A. 21. Fernandes E. 16. Lopes A. 10. Ribeiro T. 6. Doumbia D. 77. Gui Meira 20. Jojo 17. Santos L. 7. Antunes L. (C)	12. Samu (G) 2. Igor Juliao 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 25. Freitas A. 98. Ibrahima 14. Raphael Guzzo 28. Carlos Daniel 10. Tejon M. 3. Butzke A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T.
Substitutes
26. Altube D. (G) 19. Arriba J. 23. de Oliveira da Silva P. H. 9. Klimov K. 15. Miguel 11. Nketia D. 22. Popoola S. 5. Silva B. 12. Ze Ricardo	90. Borukov P. 8. Cruz M. 18. Danilovic V. 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 23. Henrique P. 7. Pena Zauner E. 97. Rodrigues A. 17. Xavi Grande 34. Zavala K. (G)
Coaches
Costa R.	Moita M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Lopes A. 🟨,
39', Madsen N. 🟨,
43', Correia R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Doumbia D. 🟨,
62', Santos L. ↓, de Oliveira da Silva P. H. ↑,
66', Freitas A. ↓, Henrique P. ↑,
67', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Danilovic V. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Antunes L. ⚽,
76', Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↓, Rodrigues A. ↑,
77', Madsen N. 🟨,
79', Carlos Daniel ↓, Da Rocha Borges R. ↑,
79', Igor Juliao ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
81', Ribeiro T. ↓, Miguel ↑,
81', Jojo ↓, Popoola S. ↑,
84', Henrique P. 🟨,
85', Correia R. 🟨,
88', Gui Meira ↓, Arriba J. ↑,
88', Antunes L. ↓, Klimov K. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Butzke A. ⚽,
90+2', Fernandes E. 🟨,
90+6', Samu 🟨,
90+8', Tejon M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Feirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marítimo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Feirense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Feirense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Feirense	6	0	1	5	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
25.01.26	Portimonense - Feirense	0:1 ✺
19.01.26	Feirense - Porto B	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Oliveirense - Feirense	3:4 ✺
03.01.26	Feirense - Leiria	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Feirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTL
- CS Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2
24.01.26	Marítimo - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Lusitânia - Marítimo	0:4 ✺
11.01.26	Chaves - Marítimo	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Leixões - Marítimo	1:4 ✺
16.12.25	Marítimo - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
24.08.25	Marítimo - Feirense	1:0
04.05.25	Marítimo - Feirense	1:1
23.11.24	Feirense - Marítimo	1:0
27.04.24	Marítimo - Feirense	3:2
17.12.23	Feirense - Marítimo	0:1
Liga Portugal
14.04.19	Marítimo - Feirense	2:0
10.12.18	Feirense - Marítimo	1:1

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